Will market turmoil drive the Fed to taper the taper?

Consensus that the Fed would extend its $10bn taper from December with a further $10 bn taper today (reducing the monthly flow to a ‘mere’ $65 billion per month – $30bn MBS, $35bn TSY) was spot on. We suspect the view, despite the clear interconnectedness of markets (and flows), of the FOMC is that "it’s not our problem, mate" when it comes to EM turmoil.*FED TAPERS BOND BUYING TO $65 BLN.

The Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting concludes on Wednesday, with the federal open market committee (fomc) scheduled to release a statement at 2 p.m. Eastern.

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The centrist policymaker now says it’s too early to say when the Fed will taper and that the central bank must be certain the recovery can withstand ongoing fiscal contraction. Another important consideration in the recent market dislocation is the value of primary dealer positions relative to the bond market’s total size.

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This reaction is in contrast to what was termed the "taper tantrum" in 2013 as the market had a substantial reaction when the Fed announced it was tapering off its bond-buying activity, and consequently, its efforts to boost the economy.

recent days. The centrist policymaker now says it’s too early to say when the Fed will taper and that the central bank must be certain the recovery can withstand ongoing fiscal contraction. Another important consideration in the recent market dislocation is the value of primary dealer positions relative to the bond market’s total size.

THE STOCK MARKET IS GOING CRAZY - My Watchlist For Tomorrow - Yields & Trade War EXPLAINED No hints which month taper will come; new tool being weighed. According to the minutes, the central bankers considered, but decided against, adding language to the policy statement on the data-dependent taper plan, fearing market overreaction. Many of the Fed said it would hard to "succinctly" explain the tapering stance.

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If either of the factors discussed here were to reverse – i.e., a market repricing up to an old neutral for the fed funds rate or a market-unfriendly change in the Fed’s balance sheet normalization framework – another taper tantrum could result.

Scott Anderson, chief economist at Bank of the West, said the market. Fed has been buying bonds hoping to drive down long-term rates and spur growth. In May, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said that the.